This calculator estimates how long your institution will need to complete the elective surgeries postponed during the IV fluid shortage. The analysis is based on the size of the backlog during IV fluid shortage and recovery strategies you can undertake post-shortage (e.g. increasing prime time utilization and/or extending operating hours, and even working weekends).

Results

Based on your inputs, we estimate that:

  • Your backlog of cases will accumulate 1,301 cases until December 1, 2024.
  • After December 1, 2024, you will be able to accommodate 288 additional cases per month.
  • It will take you 4.5 months to recover the backlog. It’s estimated that you will clear the backlog by April 15, 2025.

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How the time needed to recover is calculated

We used the following formula to calculate how long your institution will need to complete the elective cases canceled or postponed:

Time needed to recover =

Size of backlog

Recovery speed

How the size of backlog is calculated

The size of the backlog is calculated based on how many non-essential cases could have been done between the date you start postponing all non-essential cases and the date you get back to running 100% of your OR capacity.

Size of backlog =

Backlog accumulated between the date you start postponing all non-essential cases and the date you get back to running 100% of your OR capacity

–

Any loss of cases during the IV fluid shortage

How recovery speed is calculated

Recovery speed is the additional number of cases per month that you can accommodate beyond the baseline OR volume.

Recovery speed =

Additional number of cases that can be done due to the increase in prime time utilization

+

Additional number of cases that can be done due to working longer on weekdays

+

Additional number of cases that can be done due to working over the weekends